Suburban Political Recount

Suburban Political Recount

Thank you very much ... NEXT!!

Posted by JP on Wed, 10/29/2008 - 15:23
I emailed the governor's spokesman to inquire whether there'd been any discussion about how to go about naming a replacement should Barack Obama win the White House next week. Gov. Rod Blagojevich gets to name the next U.S. senator to finish Obama's term if that's the case. Here's what I heard back from spokesman Lucio Guerrero. Unfortunately, I think he's kidding. "We have decided to make it an American Idol style competition. We are going to give the candidates a few days at the spot and then the voters will call-in to pick their favorites. Rich Miller will play the part of Simon, Catie Sheehan can be Paula Abdul and you can be Randy Jackson. Does that work?"

Here is some good TV for you

Posted by Joseph Ryan on Wed, 10/29/2008 - 09:50

For your amusement, here is a compilation of the latest ads to run in congressional races across the suburbs.

14th Congressional District

After months of soft serve from Republican Jim Oberweis, the candidate has gone a bit negative in his latest ad against unlikely greenhorn incumbent Bill Foster.

Here is Bill Foster’s rosy ad.

No wonder we have budget problems (updated)

Posted by JP on Tue, 10/28/2008 - 16:07

There's a hot race out in the far western suburbs where Democratic state Sen. Linda Holmes of Aurora tries to hold her seat against Republican Terri Wintermute.
Holmes is being accused of backing tax increases in ads.

This was sent to a Daily Herald reporter to back up the claim.

"We stand by our ads stating that Linda Holmes is considering an income tax hike. An increase from two percent to three percent represents a 33 percent increase in the income tax."

Oh, so close.
An increase from two percent to three percent is actually a 50 percent increase.

Something else to keep in mind ...
The personal income tax rate in Illinois is already 3 percent.

Paul Vallas is enticing DuPage County GOP

Posted by Joseph Ryan on Tue, 10/28/2008 - 14:28
State Sen. Dan Cronin, head of the DuPage County Republicans, said Tuesday he has been talking off and on with former Chicago schools chief Paul Vallas about a GOP run for governor or Cook County board president. Cronin seems warm to the idea. "I think he is geniunely interested," Cronin said, noting he talks to him often enough to have his number in his cell phone. That Vallas may jump to the GOP ticket came out at the Republicans' press conference about a late campaign radio ad aimed at helping the party fight off challenges in closely contested suburban races.

Where is all this campaign cash coming from?

Posted by Joseph Ryan on Mon, 10/27/2008 - 14:06
Top state Republicans and Democrats are poised to spend more than $5 million on a handful of local elections as they battle to win power in Springfield this year. You can find a list of the top dozen suburban races on our political page and who is supporting those campaigns. The Illinois Campaign for Political Reform just put out its own list of the top 20 campaign contributors statewide. The watchdog group has found some of those same groups are funding the opposition to a referendum that would open up the state constitution to a rewrite. Here is a look at their data. Top Donors to Legislative Incumbents and Candidates, 7/1/08-10/26/08 (1) Illinois Education Association (IEA): $877,000 (2) Illinois State Medical Society (ISMS) $565,000

Worse than Ryan?

Posted by JP on Mon, 10/27/2008 - 09:50
The Chicago Tribune had an interesting political poll last week that showed Gov. Rod Blagojevich's approval rating at 13 percent. Of those polled, 75 percent said they don't want to see him re-elected. I just happened to be digging through some of my George Ryan files recently and came across the Oct. 31, 2000 Daily Herald story on the poll we did back then with news partner ABC-7. 65 percent said Ryan should not seek re-election. For what it's worth, that 2000 poll also showed Republican Jim Ryan with a huge lead over Democrat Rod Blagojevich, should that end up being the matchup for governor in 2002: Blagojevich 18 percent, Jim Ryan 45 percent, Undecided 37 percent. Looking back, I guess we know how just about all of those undecided voters broke.

Blagojevich stealing from Ryan's playbook

Posted by JP on Fri, 10/24/2008 - 14:52

The Associated Press has the early story here

“The governor says his 13 percent job approval rating is unrelated to the federal corruption investigation that's been swirling around his administration.”

Hold on. I’ve heard this argument before.
Now where was it.
Oh yeah, now I remember.
Gov. George Ryan.
When Ryan’s popularity tanked early on, he said it had far more to do with his 1999 decision to push higher alcohol and vehicle taxes – which paid for construction spending – than the federal investigation of his administration. There was also his decision to support O’Hare expansion after telling suburban voters he’d fight against more runways.

Congressional Dem challengers scraping for cash

Posted by Joseph Ryan on Fri, 10/24/2008 - 12:36
Here is a look at how some Democratic challengers and incumbent Republicans are doing in their congressional battle over the suburbs: Kirk v. Seals U.S. Rep. Mark Kirk continues to far outpace his Democratic challenger raising cash to spend on TV ads, staff and mailers. However, Dan Seals continues to land considerable help from national Democrats to help make up the difference. In the latest report, Kirk had $884,973 on hand as of Oct. 15. Kirk’s fundraising has been blistering, bring in more than $4.7 million in this election cycle. Much of Kirk’s backing comes from the financing sector and pro-Israel groups, according to an analysis by the Center for Responsive Politics.

Why voters support doing nothing

Posted by JP on Fri, 10/24/2008 - 09:36

In today’s editions, I’ve got a story about a SIU poll of registered voters regarding the state’s lingering budget woes.

Bottom line: People don’t want tax increases; they’d prefer budget cuts. That is unless the things they like get cut. And those things – education, prisons and police, care for the needy – are on the chopping block.

Of course those things make up the overwhelming majority of the state’s spending. Cutting elsewhere doesn’t yield the billions needed to truly fix the situation.

New Congressional Ads hit the suburbs

Posted by Joseph Ryan on Thu, 10/23/2008 - 15:08

Democrat Scott Harper, the well-organized start-up who is giving U.S. Rep. Judy Biggert a bit of a late-campaign scare, has launched a TV ad.
Harper reported raising nearly a $1 million and had more than $333,000 on hand at the beginning of the month. Biggert raised $1.2 million and hand more than $800,000 on hand at the beginning of the month.
Here is Harper's ad, which could be considered both amusing and creepy. At the very least, it is memorable.