LOST: Dissecting "The Substitute" (6x04)
"Two players. Two sides. One is light. One is dark."
-- John Locke, "Pilot"
Five television seasons later, an ancient entity posing as John Locke walks into a cave with James Ford, and spots a scale. On the scale: one white rock, one black rock. Locke's impostor picks up the white rock and skips it across the ocean. "Inside joke," he tells Ford.
In this final season's alternate timeline, the still-living John Locke doesn't have to make a choice as earth-shattering as good vs. evil. He just needs to pick a color swatch for his upcoming wedding.
"The Substitute" is the kind of episode that truly rewards the hardcore fans, much like last year's "Jughead." It has iconic scenes that will be series milestones, and appears to answer some rather large questions, but also gives us nice little easter eggs -- inside jokes, if you will.
But one thing at a time. An episode this dense needs an itemized entry!
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The Alternate Timeline
What's different: Locke and Helen are still together, and apparently Locke's dad isn't a conniving con-man -- he's invited to the wedding, according to Helen. A character who had a short but memorable appearance in "Tricia Tanaka is Dead" (3x09), Lynn Karnoff, is no longer a tarot-card reader -- she works for a temp agency owned by Hugo. Her boss is Rose Nadler, who must not have worked for Hugo in the original timeline. (Otherwise, she would have recognized him.) When John finally gets a new job as a substitute teacher, he meets an anal retentive European history teacher named ... Benjamin Linus.
What's not different: Yes, Hugo did own Locke's box company in the original timeline; we learned this in a throwaway line of dialogue all the way back in "Numbers" (1x18), Hurley's very first flashback episode. And Locke still didn't go on that walkabout; he even tells Helen that he complained to them about telling him what he can't do. As for Rose, she still faces terminal cancer in her alternate life.
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Answers
• Smokey tells Sawyer that he has been brought to the island as one of six potential "candidates" -- people who could replace Jacob as the island's protector. In the cave we see six names written in Jacob's hand, each paired with one of the numbers ("Jacob had a thing for numbers," Smokey says): 4 - Locke, 8 - Reyes, 15 - Ford, 16 - Jarrah, 23 - Shephard, and 42 - Kwon. (Smokey doesn't know if "Kwon" refers to Sun or Jin, but my money's on Jin.) We have heard the word candidate used before, but in reference to Frank Lapidus -- Bram and Ilana talk about him as a potential candidate in the Season 5 finale ("The Incident"). Lapidus' name does not appear to be written on the cave wall.
• Smokey still has to abide by the island's "rules," whatever they may be. A child who looked oddly familiar appeared in the jungle and told Smokey he could not kill Sawyer.
• Ben did care for John. His short eulogy for Locke spoke volumes about the character, revealing just how devastated he is after realizing he has been a patsy for Smokey for nearly his entire life. Ben and John are united in this deception, and in their blind faith, and hopefully their alternate incarnations will make peace with each other.
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New questions
• Is Smokey telling the truth about why Jacob brought James and his friends to the island? It would seem to me that the conversation in the opening scene of "The Incident" goes against the information we learn in this week's final scene. Smokey (or the Man in Black, if you prefer) told Jacob that outsiders corrupt and destroy -- that sounds like a man who thinks the island needs to be protected, not a man who says "it's just an island," and who wants to leave it behind. Smokey may be testing Sawyer, or he may simply be fed up with protecting the island. ("Trapped. Trapped is what I am," he says.)
• Why isn't Kate's name written on the cave wall? We see snippets from "The Incident" in which Jacob visited the castaways, making sure to touch each one in some way. But he did the same to Kate (hers was that episode's first flashback, in fact). So why isn't Kate a candidate? (Or did we just not see "Austen - 108"?)
• Why did Ilana take some of Jacob's ashes? Will she save those for some kind of funeral ceremony, or can they serve some kind of other purpose? (And did anyone else finally notice, in that scene, that Jacob's theme sounds eerily similar to the Ark theme from "Raiders of the Lost Ark"?)
• Was that boy in the jungle Younger Ghost Jacob? (Credit to @jacvanek for that one.)
• Would it be so bad if Smokey left the island? Would he be free to wreak havoc on the rest of the globe? Would it allow Widmore to take control of it? (And would that be worse?)
• OK, one old question: WHAT THE HELL IS THE SIGNIFICANCE OF THE NUMBERS?!?!?
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Bests
Performance: Well, it has to be Terry O'Quinn, doesn't it? Sorry, Foxy: "Lost" is clearly O'Quinn's show now.
Scene: So many to pick from. I'll go with Locke's funeral, which gave us a great line from Lapidus: "This is the weirdest damn funeral I've ever been to." But it wasn't the best line in the episode ...
Line: No, that would be this all-time great from one James Ford: "I don't give a damn if you're dead, or time-travelin', or the Ghost of Christmas Past. All I care about is this whiskey, so bottoms up."
• • •
Next week: The Jack-centric "Lighthouse"


Some of the other castaways' names appear on the cave wall.
http://getlostpodcast.iimmgg.com/image/8e3ee399268b5d00932d6a0c62d256aa
Two names up from 8 - REYES you'll find GOODSPEED crossed out. (Is it Ethan, Horace or Amy?)
http://getlostpodcast.iimmgg.com/image/70a3be7c3fc72fed13b15301cf1a59cf
Across Sawyer's head you'll find 313 - LITTLETON (Claire or Aaron). Left of that you'll see 140 - LEWIS (Charlotte).
Some Web sites are reporting PACE as being on the wall, but I haven't found it yet.
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4 8 15 16 23 42
After "The Substitute," I have my first concrete, plausible guess for how "Lost" will end:
We flashback to the conversation on the beach between Jacob and the Man in Black ... only this time it is between Jack and Locke.
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4 8 15 16 23 42
I believe the music playing on the turntable is "Search and Destroy" by Iggy and the Stooges.
Bram and the people in the temple used some kind of ashes as protection from the Smoke Monster - I wonder if Ilana took Jacob's ashes for the same purpose?
Another question: what is the deal with Richard? If he didn't know anything about the candidates, then what does he think Jacob has been up to?
The rules...I wonder if Smokey isn't allowed to kill anyone who is still a candidate? Are we to assume that everyone who was brought to the island was a candidate at some point, and the ones who have been disposed of by Smokey - Mr. Eko, for example - were disqualified along the way?
You must be right about the ashes. How could I forget about all that?
I think we'll soon discover that Richard has been as much of a pawn as Ben, Locke or anyone else on the island. Jacob must have done something for Richard way back when that made him a true believer, one that doesn't ask ANY questions.
The "rules" must apply to the candidates. But are these rules the same ones Ben and Widmore have been talking about for the past two seasons? That remains to be seen. I didn't see WIDMORE or LINUS among the names that were crossed out, but I thought I saw LENNON -- the name of Dogen's translator, according to ABC's press materials. (We haven't actually heard it spoken in the show yet.)
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4 8 15 16 23 42
My money is on Sun being the candidate, she seems mentally stronger than Jin. Plus, she was running Paik at one point, right?
Any background on the music playing in Sawyer's house when Locke/Smokey came in?
Excellent episode.